Viewing cable 05GENEVA1391
Title: JCIC-XXVII: (U) WORKING GROUP MEETING ON TRIDENT

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05GENEVA13912005-06-07 06:20:00 2011-08-30 01:44:00 SECRET US Mission Geneva
This record is a partial extract of the original cable. The full text of the original cable is not available.
S E C R E T SECTION 01 OF 04 GENEVA 001391 
 
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SUBJECT: JCIC-XXVII:  (U) WORKING GROUP MEETING ON TRIDENT 
II REENTRY VEHICLE ON-SITE INSPECTIONS, JUNE 2, 2005 
 
REF: GENEVA 1365 (JCIC-XXVII-014) 
 
Classified By:  Dr. George W. Look, U.S. Representative to 
the Joint Compliance and Inspection Commission (JCIC). 
Reason: 1.4 (b) and (d). 
 
¶1.  (U) This is JCIC-XXVII-018. 
 
¶2.  (U) Meeting Date:  June 2, 2005 
                Time:  5:10 - 5:50 P.M. 
               Place:  Russian Mission, Geneva 
 
SUMMARY 
 
¶3.  (S) A Working Group Meeting was held at the Russian 
Mission on June 2, 2005, to discuss inspection procedures to 
address Russian concerns that its inspectors cannot confirm 
that Trident II submarine-launched ballistic missiles (SLBMs) 
are not deployed with more reentry vehicles than attributed. 
The U.S. proposed the added procedure of using the RVOSI 
measuring device demonstrated to the Parties at Kings Bay 
Submarine Base, February 7-9, 2005.  The U.S. Delegation 
provided answers to questions raised at a May 31, 2005 Heads 
of Delegation (HOD) meeting (REFTEL) regarding the use of the 
RVOSI measuring device and provided additional details 
regarding the U.S.-proposed procedures. 
 
RESPONSE TO QUESTIONS FROM 
MAY 31, 2005 HOD MEETING 
 
¶4.  (S) Emig began the meeting by stating its objectives, 
which he summarized as:  (1) to respond to Russian questions 
raised during the May 31, 2005 HOD meeting (REFTEL); (2) to 
provide additional details regarding the U.S.-proposed 
supplemental procedures for Trident II RVOSIs; and (3) to 
identify areas where the sides agreed and disagreed as part 
of an effort to resolve Trident II RVOSI concerns. 
 
¶5.  (S) Emig provided the following answers to the questions 
raised at the May 31, 2005 HOD meeting (REFTEL): 
 
     -- Question 1:  Would the 3 percent rule apply during 
the use of the RVOSI measuring device as it usually applies 
to measurements in the Treaty? 
 
     -- Answer 1:  No.  Look correctly stated (REFTEL) that 
this rule could not apply.  Use of the Trident RVOSI 
measuring device involves the relationship between three 
items:  the missile, the RVOSI cover, and the device itself. 
This is very different from normal Treaty measurements, which 
usually measure one, much larger object.  The 3 percent rule 
would allow less than 1 cm of tolerance.  U.S. engineers 
determined that 3 cm overall tolerance is necessary to 
account for the variances among the three elements, along 
with the process of field measurements.  The United States 
believes a 3 cm tolerance would provide the necessary 
confidence in the measurements and the measuring device. 
 
     -- Question 2:  What if the measurements obtained during 
the inspection differ from the measurements agreed to as a 
result of the Trident II demonstration? 
 
     -- Answer 2:  As Look previously stated (REFTEL), if 
measurements are not within the 3 cm tolerance of the 
benchmark value, the United States anticipates inspectors 
would include an ambiguity in the inspection report. 
 
REVIEW OF U.S.-PROPOSED 
SUPPLEMENTAL PROCEDURES 
 
¶6.  (S) Emig provided the following description of the 
supplemental procedures envisioned by the United States for 
Trident II RVOSIs: 
 
     -- After all of the inspectors complete their 15 minutes 
of viewing of the installed Trident II RVOSI hard cover, the 
escort team chief will request the inspection team chief and 
one additional member of the inspection team return to the 
temporary structure for viewing the SLBM launcher, where the 
inspectors will be given the opportunity to examine the 
measuring device. 
 
     -- The two inspectors would then observe the facility 
personnel take two official measurements in the same manner 
as performed at the February 2005 demonstration.  The escort 
team chief would record these measurements for the inspection 
report. 
 
     -- To reiterate, the benchmark measurement for a Trident 
II Type A SLBM configuration is 23 cm plus/minus 3 cm.  Type 
B benchmark measurement is 24 cm plus/minus 3 cm. 
 
ADDITIONAL QUESTIONS ON PROCEDURES 
 
¶7.  (S) Fedorchenko inquired about the reference to a 
15-minute viewing period for the inspectors, stating that the 
Treaty contains the right for each inspector to view and 
participate in measurements, and that current RVOSI practice 
is to allow two inspectors a total of 15 minutes of viewing 
time each.  He questioned whether the U.S. proposal was to 
allow 15 minutes each for five subgroups of two inspectors to 
confirm the measurements.  Emig responded that the viewing 
structure is small and, as a consequence, only two inspectors 
could be allowed inside at the same time.  He reiterated that 
the U.S. proposal provided for a total of two measurements 
with the measuring device. 
 
¶8.  (S) Fedorchenko stated that within the Treaty there are 
only two or three cases in which subgroups are pulled from 
inspection teams.  Emig sought clarification whether 
Fedorchenko was suggesting the Treaty required the United 
States to allow five measurements with the measuring device. 
Fedorchenko responded that there were two options:  either 
all ten inspectors are allowed to view the measurements with 
the measuring device or five sets of measurements are 
completed by five teams of two inspectors.  Mullins then 
engaged, noting that the idea of using a subgroup of two 
inspectors to confirm measurements is not without precedence, 
providing as an example SS-18 RVOSIs.  Fedorchenko replied 
that he understood, but the U.S. proposal limited inspectors 
performing inspections under Article XI, Paragraph 6 of the 
Treaty.  He disagreed with the U.S. position that the 
proposal was sufficient for RVOSIs, stating that of ten 
inspectors, only two could be sure that the front section did 
not contain more reentry vehicles than the number attributed. 
 Mullins replied that the U.S. proposal did not limit 
inspectors; rather, these procedures were in addition to 
current practice.  Shevtsov suggested that the U.S. proposal 
be provided in writing for evaluation by the Parties. 
 
¶9.  (S) Taran noted that inspection teams could include 
inspectors from each Party, and not all Parties would be 
represented if only two inspectors were allowed to confirm 
the measurements. 
 
NEXT STEPS 
 
¶10.  (S) Emig asked whether there were other concerns, to 
which the Parties replied there were not.  He asked the 
Parties to consider how an agreement would be documented, 
noting that the United States was considering a Coordinated 
Plenary Statement.  He continued by stating that, regardless 
of form, an agreement should include a description of the 
procedures for using the measuring device, along with a 
statement confirming that the February 7-9, 2005 
demonstration of the RVOSI measuring device at Kings Bay 
Submarine Base, in combination with the use of the measuring 
device at future Trident II RVOSIs, would resolve past 
concerns provided that benchmark measurements were achieved 
within the tolerances provided. 
 
¶11.  (S) Fedorchenko requested that the United States provide 
a written proposal to the Parties to allow formal discussions 
to begin as soon as possible.  Emig replied that the United 
States would consider this request. 
 
¶12.  (U) Documents Exchanged:  None. 
 
¶13.  (U) Participants: 
 
U.S. 
 
Col (S) Emig 
Mr. Dunn 
Mr. Herrick 
Mr. Jones 
Mr. Miller 
Mr. Mitchner 
Mr. Mullins 
Mr. Page 
Mr. Sessions 
Mr. Singer 
Mr. Smith 
Mr. Tiersky 
LCDR Woods 
Dr. Hopkins (Int) 
 
Belarus 
 
Mr. Grinevich 
 
Russia 
 
Col Fedorchenko 
Mr. Bolotov 
Ms. Kotkova 
Col Maksimenko 
Col Razumov 
Col Ryzhkov 
Mr. Shabalin 
Mr. Smirnov 
Ms. Sorokina 
Col Yegorov 
Mr. Uspenskiy (Int) 
 
Ukraine 
 
Dr. Shevtsov 
Mr. Taran 
 
¶14.  (U) Look sends. 
Moley