Viewing cable 06KYIV4305
Title: UKRAINE: LITHUANIAN MFA U/S PAVILIONIS AND A/S

IdentifierCreatedReleasedClassificationOrigin
06KYIV43052006-11-17 16:47:00 2011-08-30 01:44:00 CONFIDENTIAL Embassy Kyiv
VZCZCXRO2509
PP RUEHDBU
DE RUEHKV #4305/01 3211647
ZNY CCCCC ZZH
P 171647Z NOV 06
FM AMEMBASSY KYIV
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 0422
INFO RUCNCIS/CIS COLLECTIVE
RUEHZG/NATO EU COLLECTIVE
C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 KYIV 004305 
 
SIPDIS 
 
SIPDIS 
 
E.O. 12958: DECL: 11/16/2016 
TAGS: PREL PGOV BO UP RS GG TU PL LH
SUBJECT: UKRAINE: LITHUANIAN MFA U/S PAVILIONIS AND A/S 
FRIED DISCUSS REGIONAL DEVELOPMENTS 
 
 
Classified By: Ambassador for reasons 1.4 (b,d). 
 
¶1. (SBU)  Summary: Lithuanian MFA Under Secretary Zygimantas 
Pavilionis and A/S Fried discussed developments in the region 
and measures needed to address recent Russian assertiveness. 
Paviolionis said that the Lithuanian, Polish, and Ukrainian 
Presidents formed an effective "troika" in working together 
for common goals.  He was pessimistic about prospects for 
change in Belarus, concerned about Moldovan "irrationality." 
A/S Fried suggested Lithuania and other Baltic states could 
provide useful perspective and support to Georgia, which 
would face years of pressure from Russia.  End Summary 
 
Poland 
------ 
 
¶2. (SBU) Pavilionis said there was excellent chemistry 
between Presidents Kaczynski, Adamkus, and Yushchenko, who 
formed a "troika."  Pavilionis was optimistic about 
Lithuanian cooperation with Poland in the energy sector, 
despite Russian meddling.  He complained that Russia had 
tried to destroy the deal to sell the Mazeikiu Nafta oil 
refinery to Polish firm PKN Orlen.  Pavilionis looked forward 
to Polish cooperation in construction of a new nuclear power 
plant and access to a planned Polish LNG terminal. 
 
¶3. (C) Pavilionis expressed frustration, however, by Polish 
positions in the EU regarding Russia.  Poland was "blocking 
everything," while the "Russians are laughing." As Poland 
finds itself isolated in the EU, the Russians are 
accomplishing what they want through bilateral agreements 
with EU member states.  Pavilionis said that while Vilnius 
was in agreement with Poland on substantive issues, it had 
urged Warsaw to behave more effectively, building a coalition 
within the EU instead of isolated blockage. 
 
¶4. (C) Pavilionis characterized the Polish floated idea of 
imposing sanctions on Belarus as a manifestation of a Polish 
tendency to solve its internal political problems by fighting 
with its neighbors.  He predicted that this idea would be 
dropped after the Polish municipal elections. 
 
Belarus 
------- 
 
¶5. (C) Pavilionis was pessimistic about the prospects of a 
change in attitude on the part of the Belarusian government. 
He noted that there had been recent suggestions that Minsk 
would like Vilnius to "lead us to Europe."  However the 
Belarusian government had not taken any steps, even symbolic, 
to demonstrate that they were serious.  He mentioned that 
several Lithuanian diplomats faced criminal charges in 
Belarus; he was disappointed that they not been dropped. 
 
Transnistria - Moldova 
---------------------- 
 
¶6. (C) Pavilionis suggested that the Moldavians were so 
scared that they could "become irrational." Pavilionis was 
interested in recent Russian suggestions, recounted by A/S 
Fried, that they considered Transnistria the "frozen 
conflict" with the best prospects for a solution.  Lithuania 
was interested in establishing a multinational peace-keeping 
force, possibly under the auspices of the OSCE.  Pavilionis 
suggested a meeting on December 4 in Brussels on the margins 
of the OSCE Ministerial. 
 
Georgian Crisis 
--------------- 
 
¶7. (C) A/S Fried told Pavilionis that the Russians were "not 
in a good place" vis-a-vis Georgia, that they "love a 
continuing crisis" but "do not want war."  A/S Fried also 
said that Georgia needed a group of nations that would 
support its strategic aims as Georgia will face years of 
pressure from the Russians.  The Baltic States had been in a 
similar situation in the 1990s and could provide useful 
advice and support to the Georgian government.  Pavilionis 
noted that Lithuania will push for free trade between Georgia 
and the EU and with Turkey. 
 
Turkey 
------ 
 
¶8. (C) A/S Fried remarked that the Turks are reluctant to 
challenge Russia on Georgia, but should realize that 
their prospects of becoming a regional energy hub would be 
thwarted if Georgia fell under Russian sway.  Pavilionis 
asked how to prevent a "train wreck" between Turkey and the 
EU in December.  A/S Fried told him that the U.S. 
had been approached by the Finns and was willing to work with 
 
KYIV 00004305  002 OF 002 
 
 
the Turks when the time was right. 
 
Adamkus' POTUS Meeting Request 
----------------------------- 
 
¶9. (C) Pavilionis asked about the prospects of a meeting 
between President Bush and Lithuanian President Adamkus 
when the latter visits the U.S. in February 2007.  A/S Fried 
responded that the NSC has the request under consideration. 
 
¶10. (U) A/S Fried has cleared this cable. 
 
¶11. (U) Visit Embassy Kyiv's classified website: 
www.state.sgov.gov/p/eur/kiev. 
Taylor