Viewing cable 06VILNIUS581
Title: PARLIAMENT REJECTS SOCIAL DEMOCRAT CANDIDATE FOR

IdentifierCreatedReleasedClassificationOrigin
06VILNIUS5812006-06-20 13:57:00 2011-08-30 01:44:00 CONFIDENTIAL Embassy Vilnius
VZCZCXRO5102
PP RUEHAG
DE RUEHVL #0581/01 1711357
ZNY CCCCC ZZH
P 201357Z JUN 06
FM AMEMBASSY VILNIUS
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 0304
INFO RUCNMEM/EU MEMBER STATES COLLECTIVE PRIORITY
C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 VILNIUS 000581 
 
SIPDIS 
 
SIPDIS 
 
STATE FOR EUR/NB 
 
E.O. 12958: DECL: 06/20/2016 
TAGS: PREL PGOV PINR LH
SUBJECT: PARLIAMENT REJECTS SOCIAL DEMOCRAT CANDIDATE FOR 
PRIME MINISTER 
 
REF: VILNIUS 562 AND PREVIOUS 
 
Classified By: Pol/Econ Officer Randolph Flay for reasons 1.4(b/d) 
 
SUMMARY 
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¶1. (SBU) The Lithuanian Parliament today rejected Acting 
Prime Minister Zigmantas Balcytis's candidacy for prime 
minister.  Fifty-two MPs supported the Social Democrat's 
candidacy, 48 voted against, and 32 abstained; his 
appointment required a simple majority of those present (67 
votes).  The President now has 15 days to present a new 
candidate to the parliament for consideration. Both 
Conservative and Social Democratic leaders are calling for 
renewed talks aimed at establishing a rainbow coalition.  END 
SUMMARY. 
 
CONSERVATIVES, LABOR PARTY SCUTTLE SOCDEM CANDIDATE FOR PM 
--------------------------------------------- ------------- 
 
¶2. (SBU) Balcytis, President Adamkus's choice for prime 
minister (reftel),  failed June 20 to garner a simple 
majority in parliament.  Only 52 MPs supported his candidacy, 
48 voted against, and 32 abstained, effectively casting "no" 
votes.  Balcytis needed 67 votes to secure the prime 
ministership.  Voting fell along party lines.  The Social 
Democrat-led coalition, which includes the Civil Democracy, 
National Farmer, and Liberal Centrist parties, generally 
supported Balcytis.  The Conservatives, Social Liberals, and 
Liberal Movement voted against his candidacy as expected. 
The Social Democrats expected the Labor Party to support 
Balcytis, but Labor and Liberal Democrat MPs largely 
abstained, effectively sinking Balcytis's candidacy. 
 
¶3. (SBU) The Social Democrats engaged in intensive talks with 
Labor's current cabinet members in an effort to gain votes, 
but with little effect.  Acting Labor Economy Minister 
Kestutis Dauksys on Friday publicly rejected the Social 
Democrats' suggestion to leave the Labor party and join a new 
cabinet as an independent. 
 
WHAT TO EXPECT NEXT: ANOTHER RAINBOW? 
------------------------------------- 
 
¶4. (SBU) The President now has 15 days to present another 
prime ministerial candidate to the parliament for 
consideration.  Social Democrat negotiator and acting Defense 
Minister Gediminas Kirkilas stated publicly that he thinks 
the most realistic way out of the current political situation 
is to renew talks of a rainbow coalition led by the Social 
Democrats and Conservatives.  Conservative Leader Andrius 
Kubilius says he is open to further discussions on the 
rainbow coalition and that if the President picks him for PM 
that he will invite the Social Democrats to join the 
coalition.  President Adamkus, currently on an official visit 
to Turkey, told the press he will wait until later this week 
before making any statements about possible candidates. He 
also restated his opposition to holding pre-term elections. 
 
¶5. (C) Vaclav Stankevic, Social Liberal MP, told us that no 
one in the parliament was surprised by the vote and that it 
was unfortunate the Social Democrats promised the President 
an easy approval.  He suspects the Conservative-led bloc, 
which includes the Homeland Union, Social Liberals, and 
Liberal Movement, will ask the President to nominate Kubilius 
for PM and that Kubilius will invite the Social Democrats and 
National Farmers to join in a rainbow coalition.  Eligijus 
Masiulis, Liberal Movement MP, told us that the Conservative 
bloc has also initiated talks with the National Farmers and 
Civil Democrats to encourage them to join the Conservative 
bloc.  (Note: This formula would create a bloc of 69 MPs -- 
two short of a majority -- without the Social Democrats.) 
 
DISSENT WITHIN THE SOCDEMS? 
--------------------------- 
 
¶6. (C) Simonas Satunas, one of President Adamkus's advisors, 
told the Charge on June 19 that the SocDems were experiencing 
an internal power struggle between Balcytis and acting 
Defense Minister Gediminas Kirkilas.  Many Social Democrats, 
Satunas said, believed that Balcytis's alleged attempt to 
join the KGB in the 1980s and allegations that Balcytis's son 
may be linked to the fraudulent use of EU funds made Balcytis 
an electoral liability.  Satunas told us that the many Social 
Democrats therefore preferred Kirkilas to Balcytis.  (Note: 
The Social Democrats uniformly supported Balcytis in today's 
vote, however.) 
 
COMMENT 
 
VILNIUS 00000581  002 OF 002 
 
 
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¶7. (C) The President's options for Prime Minister are limited 
given his desire to keep Labor, the Liberal Centrists, and 
the Liberal Democrats of impeached ex-President Rolandas 
Paksas (a total of 49 MPs) out of any ruling coalition. 
While programmatic differences are a clear obstacle to a 
joint Conservative-Social Democrat coalition, most parties 
are keen to avoid pre-term elections, at least for now.  Many 
still see Kubilius as too uncompromising to become the prime 
minister, but President Adamkus doesn't have many other 
choices. 
TKELLY