Viewing cable 08VILNIUS903
Title: LITHUANIA, THE EU, AND RUSSIA: POSSIBLE VETO ON

IdentifierCreatedReleasedClassificationOrigin
08VILNIUS9032008-10-23 11:54:00 2011-08-30 01:44:00 CONFIDENTIAL Embassy Vilnius
VZCZCXRO2285
PP RUEHFL RUEHKW RUEHLA RUEHROV RUEHSR
DE RUEHVL #0903 2971154
ZNY CCCCC ZZH
P 231154Z OCT 08
FM AMEMBASSY VILNIUS
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 2991
INFO RUEHZL/EUROPEAN POLITICAL COLLECTIVE PRIORITY
RUEHSI/AMEMBASSY TBILISI PRIORITY 0081
C O N F I D E N T I A L VILNIUS 000903 
 
SIPDIS 
 
E.O. 12958: DECL: 10/23/2018 
TAGS: PREL PGOV EU GG LH
SUBJECT: LITHUANIA, THE EU, AND RUSSIA: POSSIBLE VETO ON 
BUSINESS-AS-USUAL 
 
Classified By: Charge Damian R. Leader for reasons 1.4 (b) and (d) 
 
¶1. (C) Lithuanian MFA U/S Zygimantas Pavilionis told Charge 
October 23 that he is very concerned that the EU is going to 
cave on normalizing relations with Russia in the coming 
weeks.  Given pressure from France and Germany (along with 
southern tier countries), the November 10 GAERC will likely 
decide that Russia's partial compliance with agreements 
concerning Georgia is enough to "forgive Russia" and resume 
post-PCA negotiations; this despite the high-level EU 
decision September 1 that Russian forces must return to 
pre-August 7 positions.  The GOL believes that an EU decision 
to normalize relations with Russia will both split the EU and 
split the EU from the United States.  If internal EU 
negotiations play out as he fears, Pavilionis said Lithuania 
will exercise its veto, fully aware this will bring down the 
wrath of the western Europeans on Lithuania. 
 
¶2. (C) Pavilionis said he thinks the UK is the key to 
preventing this showdown, and he asked the Charge for USG 
help in keeping the UK from joining the emerging EU consensus 
on Russia-Georgia.  He provided a non-paper (faxed to EUR/NB) 
with arguments the USG might be able to use with the UK.  He 
further expressed his desire to go to Washington himself, 
pre-GAERC, to discuss this proposed cooperation with EUR A/S 
Fried.  Pavilionis is hoping for senior level USG 
intervention with UK ForSec Miliband and PolDir Lyall Grant. 
He said he already discussed the issue with Lyall Grant 
October 22, and will do so again in London October 29. 
 
¶3. (C) Pavilionis said he thought a much better outcome would 
be possible under the Czech presidency next year, when Russia 
might be more willing to comply with its promises.  To give 
up the post-PCA card now, he said, is to yield an important 
lever in influencing Russian behavior in Georgia. 
LEADER